Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 152.136674 174.247592 198.980509 228.793977 263.885155 304.030217 353.654208
2025-11-02 121.926867 150.581981 185.565371 231.795942 291.845049 367.972429 473.016428
2025-11-09 104.885350 136.492548 177.521325 235.433613 316.284599 426.983124 593.221144
2025-11-16 91.856016 124.533151 169.054377 235.305472 333.401932 476.570439 707.560022
2025-11-23 81.841288 114.830762 161.651505 234.544468 348.122958 523.474431 825.183264
2025-11-30 74.705954 108.067776 157.178692 236.827278 366.867103 578.392991 965.129894
2025-12-07 66.299083 98.329899 146.918442 228.439498 366.856765 602.217366 1055.661108
2025-12-14 60.517531 91.896058 140.870682 225.752821 375.442817 641.244584 1180.607002
2025-12-21 56.713232 88.115438 138.509524 228.691656 393.833553 700.127927 1355.404005
2025-12-28 54.674963 86.930233 140.169428 238.602205 425.979153 789.631247 1612.280958
2026-01-04 52.105770 84.575477 139.542411 244.223639 450.700640 868.603107 1864.874088
2026-01-11 48.558977 80.208298 134.950090 241.875849 459.338945 915.862961 2055.724779
2026-01-18 46.161106 77.941482 134.420988 248.351088 489.343803 1019.813188 2427.328579
2026-01-25 43.473034 74.938835 132.313472 251.661950 513.858195 1118.290381 2821.606995
2026-02-01 41.161132 72.369187 130.690501 255.662701 540.533608 1227.833581 3285.059236
2026-02-08 38.618045 69.103870 127.342763 255.521781 557.671697 1317.820938 3724.800333
2026-02-15 36.265327 65.971930 123.907134 254.684828 572.981190 1406.695143 4195.839248
2026-02-22 34.476008 63.766332 122.095350 257.195584 596.980716 1524.948797 4814.194187
2026-03-01 31.759579 59.477273 115.548238 247.972039 589.455991 1552.503115 5123.366472
2026-03-08 29.856138 56.674421 111.863554 245.018706 597.997245 1629.702968 5654.399853
2026-03-15 28.634962 55.167525 110.805762 248.249250 623.956572 1767.093525 6491.955639
2026-03-22 28.097831 55.039081 112.742791 259.147992 673.628874 1994.548283 7837.259814
2026-03-29 27.228051 54.123222 112.818956 265.332944 710.938046 2192.163878 9167.896514